A necessary peace for the global economy
According to a study by the Unimpresa Research Center, ending the war between Russia and Ukraine could be a turning point for global economic recovery, particularly in Italy. The survey, conducted on a representative sample of 100,000 businesses across agriculture, manufacturing, services, and tourism, reveals a clear trend: political stability and the end of the conflict are crucial for the international economy.
Inflation and raw materials: the impact of a truce
82% of businesses believe that a ceasefire would lead to an immediate reduction in inflation and price stabilizationfor energy and raw materials. The energy market, heavily impacted by geopolitical tensions, could benefit from lower natural gas, oil, and wheat costs—key resources for Italy’s production system. Lower prices would relieve economic pressure on businesses and households alike.
Trade and export recovery
Another key finding is that 76% of businesses see peace as an opportunity for export recovery. Trade between Italy and Eastern Europe, particularly in agriculture and manufacturing, has been severely disrupted by the war. A diplomatic resolution would allow commercial relations to resume, boosting national productivity.
Tourism and consumer confidence
Tourism, a major pillar of the Italian economy, could greatly benefit from the end of the war. 69% of companiesbelieve that peace would enhance consumer confidence, increasing inbound and outbound travel demand. Greater international security is crucial to attracting visitors and encouraging investment in the sector.
Investment and financial stability
65% of businesses agree that ending the war would create a more favorable environment for international investment. Increased market confidence and reduced volatility would improve credit access, encouraging companies to invest in technological innovation and production development, strengthening Italy’s global competitiveness.
Supply chains and logistics
The conflict has significantly impacted global supply chains, making goods circulation difficult. 59% of companiesbelieve that peace would facilitate smooth trade recovery, eliminating logistical challenges and making the market more efficient and sustainable.
Political and economic stability
Another key aspect is reducing geopolitical uncertainty. 54% of businesses stress that a lasting truce would help them plan long-term investments, allowing companies to develop solid and secure growth strategies.
Conclusion
“Peace between Russia and Ukraine is not just an ethical and moral goal, but an essential economic necessity,” states the Unimpresa Research Center. “Italian businesses need stability to grow and compete internationally. Political leaders, both in Italy and across Europe, must work towards a swift resolution to ensure a future of growth and prosperity.”
What do you think? Could the end of the conflict really improve the economic situation? Leave a comment below and share your thoughts!
